Australian businesses are increasingly concerned about the economic outlook as future indicators in a new survey by the National Australia Bank showed a slowdown.
The bank’s latest quarterly business survey on Thursday showed that business expectations declined on both the three-month and 12-month horizons, while the order books index fell further into negative territory.
Capacity utilization declined slightly in the second quarter to 83.6 percent (83.9 percent in the previous quarter), but investment plans remained largely unchanged.
“Economic indicators in the business survey continued to weaken this quarter,” said NAB chief economist Alan Oster.
“Expectations about future business conditions have declined. This suggests that companies are increasingly concerned about the economic outlook, even though we have so far managed to avoid a recession.”
NAB also announced that employment expectations for the next three months fell slightly, while expectations for the next 12 months eased. The proportion of businesses citing labour availability as a constraint remained broadly stable at 79 per cent.
The bank’s data came on the same day that the Australian Bureau of Statistics said the country’s unemployment rate rose slightly in June, to 4.1 percent from 4 percent in May.
Reported cost growth remained high, with labor costs increasing 1.2 percent (unchanged from the first quarter) and purchasing costs increasing 0.9 percent (up from 1.1 percent previously).
The weakening of consumer demand also appears to be affecting companies’ ability to pass on costs as price growth slows.
“There appears to be a continued improvement in material cost growth, which is very encouraging, but labor cost growth is still high,” Oster said.
“However, there has also been some gradual moderation in price growth, suggesting that weakening demand is putting pressure on companies’ ability to pass on their costs to consumers.
“The pressure on margins is now one of the biggest burdens on business confidence.”
In line with NAB’s monthly business survey released earlier this month, the latest data show that business conditions improved in the second quarter.